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Bank of America: 20%-50% chance that the reality is just a simulation

Bank of America: 20%-50% chance that the reality is just a simulationThere's a 20%-50% chance that we're living in the matrix — meaning that the world we experience as "real" is actually just a simulation, Business Insider reported on Thursday, citing Bank of America Merrill Lynch (BAML) note to clients issued on Tuesday.

The company lined comments from Elon Musk, Neil deGrasse Tyson, and Nick Bostrom's seminal paper on the issue as the basis for its 20%-50% view.

"Many scientists, philosophers, and business leaders believe that there is a 20-50% probability that humans are already living in a computer-simulated virtual world. In April 2016, researchers gathered at the American Museum of Natural History to debate this notion. The argument is that we are already approaching photorealistic 3D simulations that millions of people can simultaneously participate in. It is conceivable that with advancements in artificial intelligence, virtual reality, and computing power, members of future civilizations could have decided to run a simulation of their ancestors," the bank said in a note.

BAML also notably highlights Nick Bostrom's three probable scenarios for the human race, which are extinction before reaching a "posthuman" stage; reaching posthuman existence but not simulating evolutionary history; people are in the matrix already.
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